Oil prices and Kazakhstan's real exchange rate: An ARDL bound test approach
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Tarih
2020
Yazarlar
Dergi Başlığı
Dergi ISSN
Cilt Başlığı
Yayıncı
Ahmet Yesevi Univ
Erişim Hakkı
info:eu-repo/semantics/closedAccess
Özet
Using different real exchange rate indexes and bound test approach, this paper investigates the effect of real oil prices on Kazakhstan's real exchange rate. Results of long run ARDL approach show that increases in real oil prices causes appreciation of real effective exchange rate index which includes all trading partners of Kazakhstan or the countries outside of CIS, but causes depreciation in real effective exchange rate index which includes only CIS countries. Alongside this, ARDL error correction model shows that deviation from long run relationship is corrected in a shorter span of time when real effective exchange rate index which includes CIS countries is taken into account. The results indicate that in order to ensuring real exchange rate stability, it is important to maintain the development of other sectors together with rapid growing oil and gas sectors and to increase trade with oil rich neighbouring countries.
Açıklama
Anahtar Kelimeler
Oil prices, real exchange rate, bound test, ARDL approach, Kazakhstan
Kaynak
Bilig
WoS Q Değeri
Q4
Scopus Q Değeri
Cilt
Sayı
94
